Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
STA
1 - 1
MKD
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
MKD
44%
23%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
MKD
0 - 0
GIL
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 3
MKD
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MKD
1 - 2
OXF
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BOR
2 - 0
AFC
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
OXF
3 - 0
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
WYC
2 - 2
AFC
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 3
CHE
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |