Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 1-0
Milsami Orhei vs F91 Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2013 |
0 - 1
MIL
28%
28%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 0
ISK
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
MIL
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
FCR
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 0
MIL
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
F91
4 - 3
ETZ
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
CSP
0 - 4
F91
8%
18%
74%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
F91
2 - 1
RAC
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
JEU
3 - 1
F91
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DIF
2 - 1
F91
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |