Europa Conference League qualifiers Second Round Final
First leg 0-0
Milsami Orhei vs Budućnost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
BUD
0 - 0
MIL
34%
23%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FCD
1 - 2
MIL
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
MIL
0 - 0
KUO
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
KUO
1 - 0
MIL
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MIL
1 - 2
SHF
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
BUD
0 - 0
MIL
34%
23%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
BUD
2 - 2
NOA
41%
22%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
NOA
1 - 0
BUD
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
SLA
3 - 0
BUD
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
NSM
1 - 2
BUD
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |