Millwall vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HUR
1 - 0
MIL
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 1
STO
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 2
MIL
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 2
LUT
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
MIL
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
REA
0 - 2
BOU
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BBU
2 - 0
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
REA
2 - 3
BPO
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
REA
1 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |