Millwall vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 3
MIL
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 3
MID
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 2
BOL
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BHA
2 - 2
MIL
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 0
DER
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MID
0 - 2
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
REA
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
REA
2 - 0
COV
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
BRI
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |