Millwall vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
41.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
COV
1 - 0
MIL
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
CRY
1 - 1
MIL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
MIL
2 - 2
BIR
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 1
LEE
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 0
NOR
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
REA
5 - 1
BHA
71%
20%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
REA
3 - 0
LUT
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 0
REA
85%
12%
4%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
PLY
0 - 2
REA
28%
29%
44%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
IPS
0 - 3
REA
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |