Millwall vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 1
BRI
67%
20%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 2
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
BHA
2 - 2
MIL
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 0
LEI
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 1
PNE
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
PNE
0 - 3
DON
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
PNE
0 - 0
BCF
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
COV
1 - 1
PNE
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
BCF
3 - 3
PNE
31%
25%
45%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |