Millwall vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BCF
1 - 3
MIL
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 0
FLE
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
COV
2 - 1
MIL
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MIL
3 - 1
STF
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
COL
0 - 0
MIL
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
OLD
1 - 0
CRE
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 1
OLD
50%
28%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FLE
1 - 1
OLD
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
OLD
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
OLD
1 - 0
WAL
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |