Millwall vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
LEY
0 - 1
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 1
BOU
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 1
YEO
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BRO
2 - 1
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ALT
1 - 2
MIL
32%
26%
41%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
OLD
1 - 1
DON
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
OLD
1 - 1
LUT
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
OLD
1 - 0
CRE
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
DON
1 - 2
OLD
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BOU
0 - 3
OLD
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |