Millwall vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
MIL
0 - 2
CHA
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
SUN
3 - 2
MIL
65%
21%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
MIL
1 - 1
SHE
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
WHU
3 - 0
MIL
74%
16%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
MIL
0 - 2
BUR
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
OLD
0 - 0
SUN
39%
25%
35%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
SHE
4 - 2
OLD
61%
21%
17%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
OLD
2 - 2
WHU
32%
27%
42%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
BUR
1 - 0
OLD
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
OLD
0 - 2
FUL
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |