Millwall vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
MIL
6 - 0
CHA
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
STO
2 - 3
MIL
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
BRA
6 - 0
MIL
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
MIL
1 - 1
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
POR
3 - 2
MIL
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
OLD
3 - 1
STO
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1931 |
OLD
1 - 1
REA
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 0
OLD
73%
16%
12%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
WOL
3 - 0
OLD
65%
19%
17%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
OLD
2 - 0
WOL
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |