Millwall vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
BAR
2 - 2
MIL
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
MIL
4 - 1
GRI
53%
22%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
BRA
4 - 0
MIL
74%
15%
11%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
MIL
3 - 0
SWA
51%
23%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
BPO
3 - 0
MIL
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
BRA
2 - 0
OLD
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
WBA
1 - 0
OLD
78%
14%
9%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
OLD
1 - 1
LEY
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
STO
1 - 1
OLD
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
OLD
0 - 3
GRI
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |