Millwall vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CRY
1 - 0
MIL
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BUR
3 - 1
MIL
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MIL
1 - 0
SWA
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
MIL
3 - 1
NOR
33%
28%
38%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
BBU
4 - 1
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
COV
2 - 0
MID
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MID
0 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
SHW
2 - 1
MID
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
MID
2 - 1
PLY
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MIL
1 - 0
MID
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |