Millwall vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
BBU
0 - 0
MIL
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
MIL
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 0
SHE
31%
27%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
DER
1 - 2
MIL
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 0
QPR
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
SHE
4 - 1
MID
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MID
2 - 1
LUT
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
MID
1 - 0
TOT
11%
19%
71%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 2
MID
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
MID
2 - 1
WBA
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |