Millwall vs Middlesbrough analysis


71	ELO	71
-13.4%	Tilt	-8.8%
981º	General ELO ranking	633º
34º	Country ELO ranking	24º
ELO win probability

39.1%

Millwall

28%

Draw

32.9%

Middlesbrough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

39.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%

28%

Draw

0-0

9.6%

1-1

13.1%

2-2

4.5%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

28%

32.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+5%

-4%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Millwall

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
17 Mar. 2021	QPR 3 - 2 MIL 44% 26% 30%	71	67	4
13 Mar. 2021	DER 0 - 1 MIL 38% 28% 33%	71	68	3
06 Mar. 2021	MIL 0 - 2 BBU 43% 27% 30%	71	68	3
02 Mar. 2021	MIL 2 - 1 PNE 45% 27% 28%	71	68	3
27 Feb. 2021	BAR 2 - 1 MIL 50% 26% 24%	71	73	2

Matches

Middlesbrough

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 Mar. 2021	MID 2 - 0 PNE 47% 27% 26%	71	67	4	0
13 Mar. 2021	MID 3 - 0 STO 37% 29% 34%	70	72	2	+1
06 Mar. 2021	SWA 2 - 1 MID 58% 24% 18%	70	78	8	0
02 Mar. 2021	COV 1 - 2 MID 36% 29% 36%	70	67	3	0
27 Feb. 2021	MID 1 - 1 CAR 29% 28% 44%	69	75	6	+1