Millwall vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 0
BOC
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
MIL
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 2
MIL
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
SPB
3 - 0
MIL
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 5
MIL
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 5
MID
7%
15%
77%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
ROC
3 - 2
MID
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
STA
4 - 3
MID
29%
25%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SVS
0 - 1
MID
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 2
MID
8%
16%
76%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |