Millwall vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 2
MIL
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
MIL
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MIL
2 - 3
BRE
33%
27%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
MIL
2 - 2
BBU
22%
25%
54%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 1
MIL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MID
1 - 1
BBU
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WIG
1 - 1
MID
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MID
0 - 0
BOU
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
MID
4 - 0
NOR
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ROT
0 - 3
MID
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |