Millwall vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 2
BOL
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BHA
2 - 2
MIL
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 0
DER
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 3
MIL
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
WHU
2 - 1
MIL
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
MID
2 - 1
NTT
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
MID
1 - 2
SUN
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MID
0 - 0
CRY
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 2
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 1
MID
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |