Millwall vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 1
MIL
39%
28%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 0
DON
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 1
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 0
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LEI
4 - 2
MIL
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MID
3 - 4
SWA
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CRY
1 - 0
MID
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
MID
2 - 0
SCU
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MID
1 - 1
PNE
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
0 - 4
MID
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |