Millwall vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
MIL
2 - 0
NOT
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
BOL
4 - 0
MIL
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1993 |
MIL
2 - 1
WBA
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
MIL
4 - 3
WAT
61%
21%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
MIL
4 - 1
WAT
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
MID
4 - 1
SUN
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
WAT
2 - 0
MID
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
BHA
1 - 3
MID
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
MID
2 - 2
BIR
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1993 |
MID
2 - 0
LEI
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |