Millwall vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
PNE
3 - 4
MIL
80%
11%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
MIL
5 - 1
REA
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
TOT
2 - 1
MIL
81%
11%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
MIL
0 - 0
HUL
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
POR
5 - 2
MIL
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
MID
3 - 1
NOT
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
WOL
3 - 3
MID
37%
23%
40%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
MID
1 - 2
SOU
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
OLD
1 - 3
MID
39%
23%
38%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1928 |
MID
1 - 1
HUL
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |