Millwall vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1903 |
DER
3 - 0
MIL
73%
17%
11%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1903 |
MIL
1 - 0
EVE
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1903 |
MIL
4 - 1
PNE
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 1903 |
MIL
3 - 0
LUT
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1900 |
SOU
3 - 0
MIL
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1904 |
MID
3 - 0
EVE
36%
26%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1904 |
BIR
2 - 2
MID
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1904 |
MID
2 - 2
WBA
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1904 |
SUN
3 - 1
MID
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1904 |
MID
0 - 1
SHW
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |