Millwall vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 2
WYC
55%
23%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 1
MIL
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 0
BCF
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
FLE
2 - 1
MIL
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GIL
0 - 3
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
STF
2 - 2
GIL
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
GIL
2 - 0
ROC
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
COV
4 - 1
GIL
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GIL
3 - 1
BCF
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |