Millwall vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 1
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 1
LEE
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
STO
0 - 4
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SWI
1 - 1
MIL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MIL
5 - 0
TRA
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AFC
1 - 2
KET
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 5
AFC
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 1
KID
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
RUS
0 - 1
AFC
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AFC
4 - 0
HIS
49%
24%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |