Millwall vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
MIL
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 1
DER
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
REA
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HUR
1 - 0
MIL
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 1
STO
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
DER
3 - 2
BOU
17%
24%
60%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BOU
4 - 0
SWA
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 2
PNE
67%
19%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
REA
0 - 2
BOU
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BOU
3 - 0
HUR
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |