Millonarios vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ENV
0 - 0
MIL
22%
25%
54%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BUC
0 - 0
MIL
23%
24%
53%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 1
MIL
19%
24%
57%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 1
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAS
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
UNI
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 1
UNI
50%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 2
UNI
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |