Millonarios vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
MIL
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 0
TFC
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
MIL
1 - 1
AGU
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
SFE
0 - 0
MIL
32%
29%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 3
PAS
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 4
REA
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
ONC
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
BUC
0 - 1
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 1
SFE
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |