Millonarios vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
QUI
3 - 1
MIL
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
MIL
3 - 1
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
TOL
3 - 0
MIL
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MIL
0 - 1
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
CAL
3 - 0
MIL
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SFE
3 - 0
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 2
QUI
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
IND
1 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 0
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
PAS
2 - 1
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |