Millonarios vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 1
JUN
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
CEN
3 - 1
MIL
41%
26%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 1
PER
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
PER
1 - 0
MIL
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
MIL
1 - 1
CEN
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
CAL
2 - 0
UNI
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
ONC
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
AME
4 - 1
UNI
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 1
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
ONC
4 - 0
UNI
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |