Millonarios vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIL
36%
28%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
MIL
0 - 1
CAL
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
QUI
1 - 0
MIL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
PAS
2 - 1
MIL
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
MIL
0 - 2
SFE
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 2
HUI
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
IND
1 - 0
UNI
52%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 0
JUN
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 1
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
JUN
3 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |