Millonarios vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 1
BOG
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
EQU
0 - 0
MIL
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MIL
3 - 1
AME
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
EQU
1 - 1
MIL
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 3
PER
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
JUN
1 - 3
ONC
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 1
JUN
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 2
JUN
44%
25%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 0
ENV
69%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 0
CUC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |