Millonarios vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
SFE
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
TIJ
1 - 0
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 3
MIL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
COR
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JUN
3 - 2
AGU
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 2
AGU
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 3
CAL
42%
29%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
3 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |