Millonarios vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 0
PAS
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 2
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 0
ALI
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
39%
29%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 0
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
ENV
0 - 2
NAC
27%
29%
44%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 2
ENV
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ENV
2 - 1
AME
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
ENV
2 - 0
AGU
40%
30%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 0
ENV
40%
28%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |