Millonarios vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
MIL
12%
25%
63%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 1
MIL
34%
27%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 2
MIL
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 0
CAL
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ENV
3 - 1
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ONC
2 - 0
ENV
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 0
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
ENV
28%
29%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |