Millonarios vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
5 - 1
TFC
82%
14%
5%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
MIL
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 1
EQU
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
SFE
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ENV
2 - 0
JAG
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ENV
2 - 2
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JUN
4 - 0
ENV
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 0
TOL
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 0
ENV
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |