Millonarios vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 2
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 0
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
PER
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
MIL
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 0
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 0
CAL
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
ENV
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 0
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ONC
3 - 2
ENV
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
AGU
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |