Millonarios vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
BOG
3 - 2
MIL
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIL
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
MIL
0 - 2
COR
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AME
3 - 2
MIL
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
SFE
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ENV
1 - 0
IND
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ENV
2 - 3
TOL
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
EQU
2 - 0
ENV
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ENV
2 - 1
PER
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ENV
1 - 7
IND
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |