Millonarios vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 2
MIL
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
MIL
0 - 3
TOL
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SFE
1 - 3
MIL
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MIL
3 - 3
SFE
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MIL
1 - 1
ONC
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
ENV
2 - 0
PER
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
ENV
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ENV
0 - 0
BUC
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ENV
2 - 0
QUI
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CAL
0 - 1
ENV
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |