Millonarios vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
AME
1 - 0
MIL
68%
19%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MIL
2 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PER
0 - 2
MIL
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PAS
0 - 0
MIL
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PER
1 - 0
ENV
46%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ENV
2 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PAS
1 - 1
ENV
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
ENV
1 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 1
ENV
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |