Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
ENV
1 - 2
MIL
27%
29%
45%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 0
LEO
69%
21%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
PAS
0 - 1
MIL
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
ONC
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 3
EQU
52%
27%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 2
LEO
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 1
TOL
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
JUN
4 - 3
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 1
AGU
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
TOL
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |