Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
MIL
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MIL
3 - 0
BUC
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 0
ATP
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 2
IND
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
ATP
1 - 0
MIL
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 1
TOL
26%
28%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 0
TOL
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 0
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |