Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
MIL
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 0
HUI
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 0
UNI
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 3
MIL
25%
28%
48%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 2
JUN
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 0
COR
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
LQE
1 - 0
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
SFE
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
LQE
56%
23%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ONC
0 - 0
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |