Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUN
3 - 2
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
MIL
34%
25%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MIL
6 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 1
TOL
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 3
JUN
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
AGU
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
SFE
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 0
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |