Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 3
MIL
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 3
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIL
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
BOG
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 4
SFE
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
HUI
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 2
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 3
TOL
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
TOL
30%
25%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
HUI
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |