Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
TIG
0 - 0
MIL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
JUN
2 - 1
MIL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 1
GRE
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 2
MIL
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 0
PAS
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 0
TOL
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAS
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |