Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 0
SFE
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 2
MIL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 1
CAL
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
MIL
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
HUI
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAL
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
IND
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 2
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |