Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
EQU
2 - 3
MIL
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
MIL
2 - 3
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
IND
0 - 1
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ENV
1 - 0
MIL
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
MIL
1 - 0
BUC
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 0
TOL
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 0
EQU
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 2
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
IND
4 - 1
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 2
ENV
58%
25%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |