Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
MIL
4 - 2
SFE
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
PER
1 - 1
MIL
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
MIL
5 - 1
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PAS
0 - 1
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MIL
1 - 1
QUI
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 2
HUI
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 2
PAS
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 2
TOL
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 0
GRE
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |