Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
MIL
2 - 0
HUI
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 2
MIL
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
MIL
2 - 1
ENV
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 1
BUC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
CAL
4 - 2
MIL
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
SFE
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 0
HUI
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
PAS
2 - 1
TOL
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
IND
2 - 4
TOL
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAL
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |