Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PER
0 - 2
MIL
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PAS
0 - 0
MIL
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
MIL
1 - 1
SFE
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
MIL
2 - 2
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
AME
3 - 3
TOL
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 1
PER
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 0
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
HUI
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 0
PAS
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |